A guide to understanding AI as normal technology

And a big change for this newsletter

Sep 9 • 

Arvind Narayanan

 and 

Sayash Kapoor

167

32

30

July 2025

Could AI slow science?

Confronting the production-progress paradox

Jul 16 • 

Sayash Kapoor

 and 

Arvind Narayanan

276

34

58

May 2025

AGI is not a milestone

There is no capability threshold that will lead to sudden impacts

May 1 • 

Sayash Kapoor

 and 

Arvind Narayanan

177

40

41

April 2025

AI as Normal Technology

A new paper that we will expand into our next book

Apr 15 • 

Arvind Narayanan

 and 

Sayash Kapoor

532

36

114

December 2024

Is AI progress slowing down?

Making sense of recent technology trends and claims

Dec 18, 2024 • 

Arvind Narayanan

 and 

Sayash Kapoor

168

17

29

We Looked at 78 Election Deepfakes. Political Misinformation is not an AI Problem.

Technology Isn’t the Problem—or the Solution.

Dec 13, 2024 • 

Sayash Kapoor

 and 

Arvind Narayanan

119

6

23

November 2024

Does the UK’s liver transplant matching algorithm systematically exclude younger patients?

Seemingly minor technical decisions can have life-or-death effects

Nov 11, 2024 • 

Arvind Narayanan

 and 

Sayash Kapoor

101

11

7

October 2024

FAQ about the book and our writing process

What's in the book and how we wrote it

Oct 4, 2024 • 

Arvind Narayanan

 and 

Sayash Kapoor

86

13

6

September 2024

Can AI automate computational reproducibility?

A new benchmark to measure the impact of AI on improving science

Sep 18, 2024 • 

Sayash Kapoor

 and 

Arvind Narayanan

47

2

2

Start reading the AI Snake Oil book online

The book was published September 2024

Sep 10, 2024 • 

Arvind Narayanan

 and 

Sayash Kapoor

178

5

9

August 2024

AI companies are pivoting from creating gods to building products. Good.

Turning models into products runs into five challenges

Aug 19, 2024 • 

Arvind Narayanan

 and 

Sayash Kapoor

225

24

27

July 2024

AI existential risk probabilities are too unreliable to inform policy

How speculation gets laundered through pseudo-quantification

Jul 26, 2024 • 

Arvind Narayanan

 and 

Sayash Kapoor

112

39

15